In recent years, China's paper industry has expanded its production capacity rapidly. Although in the long run, there is still much room for the development of China's paper industry, it is difficult to avoid the oversupply of some temporary paper and paperboard products. What should we pay attention to in the recent development? Mr. Yu Xin recently published an insightful article and now reads the following:

Paper has no substitute for cultural propaganda, daily life, and commodity packaging. Its social demand has steadily increased with the growth of gross national product (GOP). There is a very close relationship between the two.

The domestic paper market is closely related to the international paper market. To analyze the dynamics of the domestic paper market, it is necessary to comprehensively analyze the overall situation of the international pulp and paper demand and production supply capacity in order to facilitate the necessary countermeasures. The forecast of the international paper market development situation has two points that are most worthy of attention: First, all parties face the prediction of the overall growth rate of the international economy, because it will show the increase or decrease in the demand for pulp and paper; second, international pulp and paper production. The level of utilization is closely related to the intensity of market competition and price movements.

As far as the production of pulp is concerned, as the utilization rate of waste paper continues to increase, the amount of fillers, coatings, and chemical aids continues to increase. In 1999, the global raw material consumption per ton of paper was as low as 567 kg (674 kg in 1990). In 1999, the utilization rate of global average pulp production capacity was 84.5%. Compared with some major international producers of pulp in the world, Has the advantages of fiber materials and its own technology. Therefore, with the exception of a few paper mills with better conditions, which may consider the construction of a chemical pulp production line with a not-significant scale effect, care must be taken with regard to the construction of a large-scale chemical pulp mill, and it should be avoided as much as possible to avoid the strong desire to increase self-slurry. Pros and cons, hurriedly launched. At present, according to the principle of forestry and paper integration, funds should be put into the development of papermaking plantation forests first, and create the most basic conditions for pulp production.

In terms of paper and paperboard, steadily increasing production capacity is still necessary in the current situation where domestic pulp and paper production capacity is lower than market demand. However, taking into account the world's excess pulp production capacity and fierce market competition, new production capacity must be carefully studied on the scale of production and technology level, so that it has a strong international market competitiveness, and should first accelerate the existing backbone enterprises. Technological transformation and appropriate expansion to improve quality, efficiency and reduce costs, enhance market competitiveness. At the same time, it is also necessary to plan for the initiative to eliminate backward productive forces that lack competitiveness, so as to adapt to the current situation. The correct forecast will guide us in making correct development decisions and cannot be ignored.

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